Ligue 1 Outrights, Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds
After a thrilling Ligue 1 title race in 2016/17, the French top division returns this coming weekend to see if the stars of last season Monaco can retain their crown. Leonardo Jardim’s young and vibrant side stunned Europe by leading the way for almost all of the campaign and pipping favourites PSG to lift the championship. But after a summer of turmoil, they look unlikely to be celebrating a similar triumph in May 2018.
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Ligue 1 Winners Prediction
Monaco have been the talk of the football world since June, with several of their high-profile players having left the club in big money transfers. Mercurial talent Bernardo Silva has moved to Premier League team Manchester City, with midfielder Tiemoué Bakayoko also heading to England to join current champions Chelsea. Young defender Benjamin Mendy has also joined City, with the spine of the team having to be remodelled by Jardim. There have also been reports that teenage sensation Kylian Mbappe will move to Real Madrid for a world record fee sometime in the coming weeks.
PSG meanwhile, runners-up in last year’s race, have had somewhat of a clear out but brought in a star name in former Barcelona and Juventus full-back Dani Alves. The betting market seems to have taken more notice of the players Monaco have sold rather than who anyone else has bought, but PSG are at very short odds of 1/5 with bet365 to lift the title. As such, it is difficult to see anyone else managing to challenge them unless the current champions heavily invest before the transfer window closed. Monaco are 11/2 also with bet365.
Ligue 1 Winners Prediction (without PSG)
For those looking to bet on Ligue 1 without PSG, Monaco are at odds of 10/11, which is certainly a better value punt. Marseille are at longers odds of 10/3 and Lyon 7/1.
Marseille are third best placed to take the title after finishing fifth in 2016/17. Florian Thauvin, who was such a big success after enduring a torrid time following his move to Newcastle United, has signed permanently, while they have also added Valerie Germain from Monaco and Luiz Gustavo from Monaco. Marseille are 16/1 to win Ligue 1, but a better value bet may be to back them to finish in the top three at odds of 11/10. Should Thauvin continue his good form and a replacement is signed for France international striker Bafetimbi Gomis, then there is a very realistic possibility that they could do so.
Surprise package Nice meanwhile, who finished third and ran both Monaco and PSG close, are priced at 7/2 to finish in the top three. They will also have the Champions League to contend with this season and at the minute do not look like they have a squad capable of competing on both fronts. Various players have left on loan with few additions coming in. Lyon, who finished fourth, are at 12/5 for a top three finish but have been dealt a blow in losing talismanic striker Alexandre Lacazette to Arsenal for almost £50million. Lyon have however used some of the money already, buying Bertrand Traore from Chelsea, Kenny Tete from Ajax and Marcelo from Besiktas. Those buys should go towards helping address their defensive problems, but losing Lacazette means they will need to sign some attacking players before September.
Ligue 1 Top Goalscorer Prediction
When looking at top goalscorer bets, it is hard to look past PSG hitman Edinson Cavani after he managed a huge 35 goals last season. He is at short odds of 4/7 to do so, while Monaco’s Colombian forward Radamel Falcao is at odds of 9/2 also with bet365. Kylian Mbappe is further back at inviting odds of 7/1, but with continued rumours that he will leave the club, it might not be worth backing him. Nice striker and Italian international Mario Balotelli is at 9/1 but with his unpredictable temperament and injury record he may not play enough games to have a chance to be in the reckoning.
Ligue 1 Relegation Prediction
Turning our attention to the relegation battle, the bookies seem to think newly promoted Amiens are favourites for the drop in 2017/18, having just been promoted from Ligue 2. Indeed, as is often the case, the three promoted sides are favourites to go down, with Troyes at odds of 6/4 and Strasbourg at 5/2. We think Strasbourg have the best chance of getting close to mid-table, although it will be a difficult ask for them to do so. The likes of Dijon, Metz and Caen also look as if they could be in danger of the drop. Caen and Dijon in particular have lost some important players and don’t look to have adequately replaced them.
Montpellier and Angers are both at 6/1 to be demoted to Ligue 2, while Toulouse are at odds of 7/1. We think that all three should be safe from the drop and our advice is to tip Amiens, Troyes and Caen to go. Caen themselves were fortunate to escape last season and may not be so lucky this term.
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Source: Football News